Page 47 - Economic report 2020
P. 47

TRENDS IN INVESTMENT BY SECTORS                another reduction in current transfers from the
               Interannual variation rate (%)             Chart  5.7  Government and the Comú authorities, which,
                                                              in aggregate terms, was greater than the one
                                                              in the previous year. On the other hand, public
                                                              administration as a whole increased operating
                                                              costs (+7.4%) and real investment (+7.1%), more
                                                              than in 2021. In parallel, tax revenue grew
                                                              strongly. As a result, the central government
                                                              went from a budget deficit in 2021 (-2.8% of
                                                              GDP) to a budget surplus of 2.3% of GDP in
                                                              2022. Equally, the Comú authorities increased
                                                              their surplus by four points, to 0.9% of GDP.
                                                              All in all, this led to GVA growth in 2022 in the
                Industry  Construction  Commerce  Hotel sector  subsector of Public administration, education,
                                                              health,  social  and  personal  services,  of  4.1%,
               Source: Chamber of Commerce, Industry and Services of Andorra.
                                                              six tenths lower than growth in 2021.
                  Economic dynamism led to a strong           Finally, analysis of the indicators for the foreign

             increase in imports and the trade deficit.       sector show that in 2022, imports shot up by
                                                              34% year on year, after the slight increase of
                                                              1% in 2021. This trend reflects the recovery in
                     both domestic demand and the demand generated by foreign visitors, although it should be noted
                     that part of the increase in trade flows can be explained by rising prices. In parallel, exports saw
                     an increase of 160.9%, although these were distorted by the performance of the chapter of works
                     of art and antiques; if this branch is excluded, the growth in foreign sales is 19.2%, a rate that is   45
                     still significant. All in all, this led to an increase in the trade deficit of 19%, and in the traditionally
                     negative contribution from the trade balance to Andorran GDP.


                     Now,  the  most  relevant  contribution  from  the  foreign  sector  to  the  Andorran  economy  is  from
                     the revenue from tourism services – the most important source of income for this country –which
                     recovered remarkably in 2022 and enabled the economy to obtain a positive current account balance.



                  4.  Prospects


                     For 2023, the prospects point to a slowdown
                     in  Andorran  economic  growth,  which  will  be   QUARTERLY TREND IN GDP AND
                     mainly  held  back  by  the  impact  on  demand   NON-FINANCIAL GVA IN REAL TERMS      Chart  5.8
                     from inflation and rising interest rates, and also   Interannual variation rate (%)
                     the loss of dynamism in the Eurozone.

                     In this respect, GDP data for the first quarter
                     of 2023 show a positive trend in the economy,
                     with growth of 3.5% year on year in real terms
                     (according to the first published estimate, still                                            Andorran economy: general developments  |  V.  Activity and demand
                     subject  to  review),  representing  a  slowdown
                     in growth in relation to the 5.2% noted in the
                     fourth quarter of 2022.

                     By sectors, construction is still the most dynamic     GDP       Non-financial GVA
                     (+4.1%), although continuing to slow gradually.
                     Services are still the main driver of the Andorran   Source: Department of Statistics.
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